World Health Organization Issues No Travel Restrictions For Swine Flu
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28/04/2009 – World Health Organization Issues No Travel Restrictions For Swine Flu
As many travel web sites, travel bloggers and media outlets create a sense of panic regarding the Swine Flu pandemic, the World Health Organization is not recommending any travel restrictions.
As the World Health Organization, an international agency overseen by the United Nations, is monitoring the swine flu globally and they do not believe there is any cause for shutting down travel or restricting travel due to the swine flu.
While SARS caused travel restrictions in 2003, and the US, Canada and Mexico are currently tightening the boards due to the swine flu, the pandemic is not at a level that would indicate the need to change the global routes of airline travel. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) is working closely with the World Health Organization and should travel restrictions be recommended the IATA will work with airlines to ensure travel is safe, healthy and that they do not knowingly spread the virus through global travel.
Take precautions in areas known to have swine flu. Look around China you’ll see people walking with paper masks throughout the streets and on flights, masks became common place in various places in Asia following the 2003 SARS pandemic. If a mask makes you more comfortable go pick a few up, but before you change your travel plans do some research and find out the minimal risk of exposure for your travel.
With or without a mask, if you can avoid travel to Mexico at this time you may want to adjust your travel plans.
Happy Flying!
It’s pandemic like in 1918:
In large U.S cities, more than 10,000 deaths per week were attributed to the virus. It is estimated that as many as 50% of the population was infected, and ~1% died. To compare, in “normal” (interpandemic) years, it is estimated that between 10-20% of the population is infected, with a .008% mortality.
The fact the current ‘swine flu’ has shown to be contagious is alarming. So far the virus has shown to have a 6% to 6.3% mortality rate. It may not seem like much, but please consider the following: The deadly influenza panic in 1918 had a mortality rate of under 1%.
This virus went on to kill tens of thousands of healthy people a day in large cities and up to 100 million people world wide.
Viruses, like this strain of swine flu, kill their host by over-stimulating active immune systems that are robust and healthy. That is why the victims in Mexico were between the ages of 20 and 45.
Some have said that no one in the United States have died from the virus, so we need not worry. Experts say it is only a matter of time. The virus is not prevalent enough to reach statistical significance in the United States, with only a handful of confirmed cases. 93.7% of all Mexicans with the virus recovered.
More cause for worry: The 1918 virus started off ‘mild’ before it mutated into a raging storm. It also does not mean we will see millions of deaths. It is too early to draw sweeping conclusions. Nevertheless, there is potential for a disastrous pandemic. If 50% of Americans catch this flu in the next two years, and the mortality rate stays at 6.3%, we would witness 20+ million deaths.
This strain of virus is more potent and more deadly than the virus that hammered the world in 1918 and 1919. Viruses come in waves. There are striking similarities to this virus and the virus that killed up to 100 million people in 1918. The first wave is historically more mild than the later waves.
In addition to this virus becoming more severe, it is mutating faster than previous virus that we have seen. In addition, this virus is nothing like we have ever seen before because it combines features from viruses natural in different parts of the globe. We are in uncharted territory.
If it follows the same path as the 1918 flu, we will see very damaging results. However, we must remember we are a global society now and the virus can spread quicker than we have ever witnessed in history. This is very concerning especially since the drugs we have now seem resistant.
While there have been no deaths in America, it is shadowed by the fact the common variable among the deaths seem to be age. While most American cases have involved the very young and very old (under 10 and over 50) the Mexican cases that ended fatally involved the robust and healthy (over 20 and under 45).
This virus kills the host by over-stimulating the immune system. The term that is used when the immune system over reacts is called a Cytokine Storm. It is usually fatal. During this “Storm” over 150 inflammatory mediators are released. This would account for the high mortality rate in 1918-19.
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